According to a new survey released by Washington Post, in conjunction with the Post-Schar School, Democrats have a 10 point lead over Republicans when presented with a generic House ballot. The poll found that, of the registered voter respondents, 47 percent said they preferred to vote for a Democrat in the November midterm elections, as opposed to 37 percent whosaid they would cast a vote for a Republican.
Per The Washington Post:
The survey was conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago between June 27 and July 2 online and by phone. The survey drew from the firm’s probability-design AmeriSpeak panel, interviewing a total of 1,473 adults, including 865 who live in one of 58 congressional districts classified by the Cook Political Report as “toss-up” or “leaning” toward one party.
Additionally, The Washington Post made note that the margin does not grow statistically in battleground districts, with the lead for the Democrats in those districts standing at 12 percentage above Republicans.
The survey delivers more bad news to Republicans in that it indicates Democratic voters are more energized to vote in the upcoming midterms than Republicans. Of Democrats and independents who identify as “Democratic-leaning” in battleground districts, 59 percent of voters said they think the midterms are extremely important. That is a 13 point differential over Republicans and “Republican-leaning” independents (46 percent).
The poll also dealt with President Trump’s approval rating among registered voters, and found that his overall approval stands at 43 percent, while his disapproval is 55 percent. The differential along gender lines is notable at 20 percentage points. Among men polled, 54 percent approve; among women polled, 32 percent approve.
As scandals continue to unfold and there is no resolution in sight for the fallout from Trump’s disastrous “Zero Tolerance” immigration policy, it will be tough to change course within the next 4 months.